Institute for Disease Modeling
Diseases like malaria, tuberculosis, polio or HIV effect communities differently across the globe; in some countries the disease may be completely eradicated and in others it may be an epidemic. Different locations vary in burden of disease, patterns of transmission, and which public health strategies are most applicable. For example: malaria has extensive geographic heterogeneity in transmission intensity, transmission patterns, mosquito species ecology and behavior, and health systems which limit the applicability of a one-size-fits-all elimination policy.
The Institute for Disease Modeling at Intellectual Ventures develops detailed, geographically-specific, and mechanistic stochastic models of disease transmission simulations through the use of extensive and complex software modeling. IDM will help enable broad accessibility of modeling and quantitative analysis tools to achieve acceptance and utilization of data-driven computer models as decision making tools in the eradication and control of infectious diseases.
The goal of the team is to determine the combination of health policies and intervention strategies that can lead to disease eradication. IDM’s model calculates how diseases may spread in particular areas and is used to analyze the effects of current and future health policies and intervention strategies. The model supports infectious disease campaign planning, data gathering, new product development and policy decisions for four generic transmission types: vector-borne, water-borne, airborne, and sexually transmitted.
IDM is currently working on disease transmission dynamics for malaria, polio, tuberculosis, and HIV.